Methods of assessing the ability of the national economy to ensure a sufficient level of state military security
Abstract
Today there are many contradictory views on the possibility of assessing the relationship between indicators of the level of military security of the state and indicators of its resource security, which characterize the state of the national economy, but there is no clear consistent approach to this task. Therefore, the method proposed by the authors in the article is a sequence of actions that should allow assessing the level of military security of the state for a certain planned time or period of its formation based on assessments of the state or level of security of various resources and their components. Based on the results of the received practical calculations, practical recommendations and proposals are formed, which will be taken into account for the next planning period of formation of the required level of military security of the state, taking into account assessments of the national economy's ability to provide this level. The methodology is intended for use by specialists of defense planning at the strategic level during medium-term and long-term defense planning, as well as specialists in the economic sphere, who are involved in determining and forecasting the level of military and economic security of the state.
Based on the results of using the methodology, it is planned to reasonably determine or clarify the indicators of the required level of development of the national economy in the direction of resource provision of military security of the state at the planned time (period) of assessment during medium and long-term defense planning; to assess the levels of resource capacity of the national economy at a given time of assessment and planning period; reasonably, effectively adjust the indicators of the level of military security of the state and resource security for the components of the national economy for a certain period of time (period); determine the sensitivity of the obtained estimates to possible changes in the input data and characterize the stability of decisions based on the obtained estimates.
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