A Method for Assessing the Resilience of International Cooperation Volumes in Crisis Situations
Abstract
Purpose. Create a tool that can measure quantitatively how quickly and fully international cooperation recovers after.
Method. Analysis; synthesis; comparison; formalization and evaluation of the material; abstraction and conjunctural analysis (thinking).
Findings. A method of assessing the resilience of volumes of international cooperation has been developed and mathematically formalised. Based on a standardised aggregate index, it is possible to identify crisis phases and correctly calculate areas of loss and recovery in the event of overlapping crises, without double counting. It also derives a dimensionless integral recovery indicator with a clear interpretation scale (from no/partial recovery to full recovery), which reflects the speed and completeness of post-crisis recovery quantitatively.
Theoretical implications. This proposed research tool can be used for academic research on interstate/intersectoral comparisons of the resilience of international cooperation volumes, based on a single index. It can also be used for monitoring and diagnosing crisis phases, and for distinguishing between the 'contributions' of overlapping crises. Furthermore, it can be used as a computational tool within broader scientific approaches.
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Copyright (c) 2025 Maryna Abramova, Ivan Havryliuk, Yurii Kliat, Serhii Mytchenko, Oleh Temnyi, Yaroslav Yankovyi
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