Transformation of Ukrainian agricultural exports in the context of russian military aggression: structural changes, adaptive mechanisms and global implications

Keywords: agricultural exports, Ukraine, military aggression, transformation, food security, supply chains, structural changes

Abstract

Purpose: studying the transformation of logistics chains, structure and dynamics of Ukraineʼs agricultural exports in the context of Russian military aggression, as well as assessing the economic and global consequences of these changes for the national economy and global food security.

Method: system analysis, statistical analysis, comparative analysis, structural-functional analysis, econometric analysis, indicator method, graphical method, expert opinion method, content analysis, scenario analysis method.

Practical value of research: the developed recommendations can be used to formulate an effective state policy and strategies for the development of the agricultural sector of Ukraine aimed at overcoming the consequences of military aggression, optimizing supply chains, diversifying export markets, increasing the added value of agricultural products, strengthening food security and enhancing the country's competitive position in the global agricultural market.

Value of research: The study is aimed at a comprehensive analysis of the transformation of Ukraineʼs agricultural exports in the context of military aggression, identifying key trends and structural changes, assessing the effectiveness of adaptation mechanisms and developing strategic recommendations for further development of the industry, which will help to increase the sustainability of the agricultural sector, optimize export flows, enhance food security and strengthen Ukraine's position in the global agricultural market.

Paper type research.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Achimescu, S.-G., & Oltean, I.-R. (2023). The Role of the International Maritime Organization in Securing the Black Sea in the Context of the Russo-Ukrainian War. Romanian Journal of International Law, 29, 7–21. URL : https://rrdi.ro/2023/04/30/the-role-of-the-international-maritime-organization-in-securing-the-black-sea-in-the-context-of-therusso-ukrainian-war/

Ali, M. (2022). The role of Turkiye in the Black Sea and the Russo-Ukrainian war: A short overview. Journal of Liberty and International Affairs, 8(3), 356-367. https://doi.org/10.47305/JLIA2283356a

Ben Hassen, T., & El Bilali, H. (2022). Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine War on Global Food Security: Towards More Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems? Foods, 11(15), 2301. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11152301

Buka, S., Tkachuk, V., Kondratiuk, V., Tonkha, O., & Slobodyanyuk, N. (2023). Prospects for agribusiness in Ukraine over the next 5 years. International Journal of Environmental Studies, 80(2), 291-298. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207233.2022.2157630

da Silva, J. A. T., Koblianska, I., & Kucher, A. (2023). AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE: AN INSIGHT INTO THE IMPACT OF THE RUSSO-UKRAINIAN WAR ON LOCAL, REGIONAL AND GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY. Journal of Agricultural Sciences (Belgrade), 68(2), 121–140. https://doi.org/10.2298/JAS2302121T

Dávid, A., Blaško, S., & Ficzere, P. (2023). The impact of the war in Ukraine on inland water transport in the Danube region. Transportation Research Procedia, 74, 188-193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2023.11.129

Güney, N. A. (2022). Food corridor: Türkiye's successful role as mediator. Insight Turkey, 24(3), 43-51. https://doi.org/10.25253/99.2022243.4

Kormych, B., Averochkina, T., & Kormych, L. (2024). Black Sea Grain initiative: bringing lawfare to conventional armed conflict. Australian Journal of Maritime and Ocean Affairs, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/18366503.2024.2316455

Kozielec, A., Piecuch, J., Daniek, K., & Luty, L. (2024). Challenges to Food Security in the Middle East and North Africa in the Context of the Russia–Ukraine Conflict. Agriculture (Switzerland), 14(1), 155. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture14010155

Kutsmus, N., Zinchuk, T., Usiuk, T., Prokopchuk, O., & Palamarchuk, T. (2024). War in Ukraine: Impact on global agri-food trade. Scientific Horizons, 27(3), 130-142. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor3.2024.130

Lopatynskyi, Y., Belei, S., Kapelista, I., & Pavlyshyn, M. (2023). The Effectiveness of the Management System in the Conditions of War and its Influence on the Development of Agribusiness. Review of Economics and Finance, 21, 932-940. https://doi.org/10.55365/1923.x2023.21.102

Mamonova, N., Wengle, S., & Dankevych, V. (2023). Queen of the fields in wartime: What can Ukrainian corn tell us about the resilience of the global food system? Journal of Peasant Studies, 50(7), 2513-2538. https://doi.org/10.1080/03066150.2023.2255568

Mykhailova, M., Yatsenko, O., Zavadska, Y., Afanasieva, O., & Haas, R. (2023b). The War in Ukraine and Its Impact on Global Agricultural Trade. Bodenkultur, 74(2), 91-105. https://doi.org/10.2478/boku-2023-0008

Nekrasenko, L., Pittman, R., Doroshenko, O., Chumak, V., & Doroshenko, A. (2019). Grain logistics in Ukraine: main challenges and effective ways to achieve sustainability. Economic Annals-XXI, 178(7-8), 70–83. https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V178-06

Ohanisian, A., Levchenko, N., Shyshkanova, G., Prykhodko, V., & Banchuk-Petrosova, O. (2022). Organic farms are the fundamental basis for the sustainable foreign economic activities of agrarians in Ukraine. Environmental and Socio-Economic Studies, 10(2), 49-61. https://doi.org/10.2478/environ-2022-0011

Osetskyi, V. L., & Kulish, V. A. (2020). Innovative industrialization in the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine. Ekonomika APK, 27(4), 54-65. https://doi.org/10.32317/2221-1055.202004054

Pavlenko, O., Muzylyov, D., Ivanov, V., Bartoszuk, M., & Jozwik, J. (2023b). Management of the grain supply chain during the conflict period: case study Ukraine. Acta Logistica, 10(3), 393-402. https://doi.org/10.22306/AL.V10I3.406

Pryshliak, N., Dankevych, V., Tokarchuk, D., & Shpykuliak, O. (2023). The sowing and harvesting campaign in Ukraine in the context of hostilities: challenges to global energy and food security. Polityka Energetyczna, 26(1), 145-168. https://doi.org/10.33223/epj/161794

Reznik, N. P., Tiurin, V. V., Yanushevych, I. A., Polina, T., & Gupta, S. K. (2020). Agribusiness innovation development in the conditions of the globalization of the world economy. Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems, 12(5 Special Issue), 545-551. https://doi.org/10.5373/JARDCS/V12SP5/20201790

Shkolnyi, O.O., Verniuk, N.O., Klymenko, L.V., Gomeniuk, M.O., & Zagorodniuk, O. (2019b). The Ukraine's agri-food export performance in the context of competitiveness. Proceedings of the 33rd International Business Information Management Association Conference, IBIMA 2019: Education Excellence and Innovation Management through Vision 2020, 7613-7619.

Zadorozhna, L. (2014). Forming Agro Industries clusters for reaching competitiveness of Ukrainian Agro industrial sector. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research, 1(1).

Zakharchuk, O., Vyshnevetska, O., Kisil, M., Nechytailo, V., & Zavalniuk, O. (2023). State and prospects of fuel supply for agriculture in Ukraine. Scientific Horizons, 26(12), 169-180. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor12.2023.169

Zerkina, О., Nikishyna, О., Bondarenko, S., Makovoz, O., & Durbalova, N. (2022). Institutional support for formation of reproductive logistics on the bread and bakery market of Ukraine. Agricultural and Resource Economics, 8(3), 153–177. URL: https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2022.08.03.08

Agribusiness of Ukraine. URL: https://agribusinessinukraine.com/the-infographics-report-ukrainian-agribusiness-2023/?utm_source=agropolit&utm_medium=banner

Bondarenko, S., Tkach, M., Polishchuk, A., & Mosin, M. (2019). Retrospective analysis of logistic concepts of resource management. Social Development and Security, 9(4), 21–40. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2019.9.4.2

Gross domestic product in actual prices in 2022. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. 12.04.2023. URL: https://www.ukrstat.gov.ua

NBU. Statistics of the external sector. URL: https://bank.gov.ua/ua/statistic/sector-external

Official website of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine. URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/

Prasad A. (2023). Ukraine has changed the geography of agricultural exports due to the blockade of ports, almost 60% of which is in Europe – UKAB. Forbes Ukraine magazine. URL: https://forbes.ua/news/ukraina-zminila-geografiyu-agroeksportu-cherez-blokuvannya-portiv-mayzhe-60-pripadae-na-evropu-ukab-16112023-17308

Statistical yearbook of Ukraine for 2021. Edited by I.E. Werner. Kyiv: State Statistics Service of Ukraine, 2022. 455 s.

How the agricultural export of Ukraine and its structure changed in 2023? URL: https://agropolit.com/blog/536-yak-zminivsya-agroeksport-ukrayini-i-yogo-struktura-za-2023-rik


Abstract views: 153
PDF Downloads: 80
Published
2024-06-30
How to Cite
Bondarenko, S., Nikishyna, O., Zerkina, O., & Shaposhnikov, V. (2024). Transformation of Ukrainian agricultural exports in the context of russian military aggression: structural changes, adaptive mechanisms and global implications. Social Development and Security, 14(3), 116-142. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2024.14.3.9
Section
Social Sciences