The dynamics of the development of the national economy of russia in the context of war

  • Mykola Tkach The National Defence University of Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8832-1268
  • Vitaliy Tkachenko The National Defence University of Ukraine
  • Oleh Kivliuk The National Defence University of Ukraine
Keywords: national economy, GDP, oil, inflation, exports, foreign trade

Abstract

Purpose: is to analyze the dynamics of the national economy of the russian federation in the context of the military conflict, to identify the main challenges and consequences for its economic stability and development, and to formulate recommendations for governments, international organizations and other stakeholders that can be implemented to maximize efforts to put economic pressure on the Russian Federation.

Method: empirical analysis, statistical methods, theoretical analysis, system analysis.

Findings: developing specific, innovative recommendations for governments, international organizations and other stakeholders that can be implemented to maximize efforts to put economic pressure on the russian federation.

Theoretical implications: The results of the study complement the existing theoretical research in the field of development of the military-industrial complex, and also take into account the practical experience of the russian-Ukrainian war.

Practical implications: The study will help to deepen the understanding of the impact of military conflicts on the country's economy, in particular, on its macroeconomic indicators, financial sector, foreign economic relations, social sphere and other aspects.

Value: The results of the study can help governmental institutions and international organizations in developing and adapting economic policies and strategies aimed at maximizing economic pressure on the russian federation to reduce its ability to meet military needs.

Papertype: theoretical and practical.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

THE WORLD BANK. Available from : https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=RU (data zvernennya: 15.02.2024).

IMF. Available from : https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD/RUS. (data zvernennya: 30.01.2024).

Average annual Brent crude oil price from 1976 to 2024. Available from : https://www.statista.com/statistics/262860/uk-brent-crude-oil-price-changes-since-1976/. (data zvernennya: 20.02.2024).

Russia’s heavy fuel oil exports: challenges and changing rules abroad and at home. Available from : https://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Russias-Heavy-fuel-oil-exports-challenges-and-changing-rules-at-home-and-abroad-WPM-80.pdf. (data zvernennya: 20.02.2024).

MAIN DRIVE OF RUSSIAN ECONOMY: HOW RUSSIA SELLS OIL AND GAS. Available from : https://ti-ukraine.org/en/blogs/main-drive-of-russian-economy-how-rf-sells-oil-and-gas/. (data zvernennya: 12.02.2024).

Nafta, haz i defitsyt byudzhetu. Shcho vidbuvayetʹsya z ekonomikoyu RF. Available from : https://forbes.ua/money/nafta-gaz-i-defitsit-byudzhetu-shcho-vidbuvaetsya-z-ekonomikoyu-rf-i-chi-pratsyuyut-sanktsii-10022023-11666. (data zvernennya: 07.02.2024).

NEW OIL MAP. Available from : https://www.transportenvironment.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/202307_oil_import_report_TE-1.pdf. (data zvernennya:09.02.2024).

Geopolitics and global slowdown weigh on South Korea’s economy. Available from : https://eastasiaforum.org/2024/02/24/geopolitics-and-global-slowdown-weigh-on-south-koreas-economy/. (data zvernennya: 10.02.2024).

Zhovtenʹ 2023 — Shchomisyachnyy analiz rosiysʹkoho eksportu vykopnoho palyva ta vidpovidnykh sanktsiy. Available from : https://energyandcleanair.org/ua/october-2023-monthly-analysis-on-russian-fossil-fuel-exports-and-sanctions/. (data zvernennya: 10.01.2024).

Ministry: Japan’s Reliance on Middle East Oil Rose to 95.1% in 2023. Available from : https://english.aawsat.com/business/4826486-ministry-japans-reliance-middle-east-oil-rose-951-2023. (data zvernennya: 05.02.2024).


Abstract views: 34
PDF Downloads: 22
Published
2024-02-29
How to Cite
Tkach, M., Tkachenko, V., & Kivliuk, O. (2024). The dynamics of the development of the national economy of russia in the context of war. Social Development and Security, 14(1), 193-204. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2024.14.1.16
Section
Social Sciences