Key Provisions of the Concept for Assessing and Forecasting the Level of Military-Economic Security of the State

Keywords: Military-Economic Security, Concept, Assessment and Forecasting, Security Environment, National Security, Wartime Economy, Risk Analysis, Defence Resources, Methodological Approaches, Modern Military Conflicts

Abstract

Purpose. The purpose of the article is to formulate a conceptually grounded approach to assessing and forecasting the level of the state’s military-economic security under modern military threats, economic turbulence, and the transformation of the security environment.

Method. Systemic, taxonomic, structural–functional, and scenario-based approaches, which enable a comprehensive analysis of the interaction among economic, financial, social, and defence-related factors, as well as the modelling of possible trajectories of the military–economic situation’s development.

Practical implications. The practical value of the study lies in the possibility of applying the developed theoretical and methodological provisions in the process of state strategic planning, improving the efficiency of managing military-economic resources, enhancing the monitoring system of risks, and ensuring the resilience of the state under military and hybrid challenges.

Future research. The prospects for further research include the development of a unified system of indicators of military-economic security, the creation of integrated forecasting models based on real wartime data, and an in-depth analysis of the impact of digitalization, energy transformation, and international military-economic cooperation on the level of national resilience.

Paper type. Theoretical, Practical.

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References

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Published
2025-12-31
How to Cite
Havryliuk, I. (2025). Key Provisions of the Concept for Assessing and Forecasting the Level of Military-Economic Security of the State. Social Development and Security, 15(6), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2025.15.6.1
Section
National Security