A generalized mathematical model for security and defense sector functioning under uncertainty and risks inherent to hybrid adversary impact

Keywords: uncertainty, risks, hybrid threats, interoperability

Abstract

Purpose: to develop a generalized mathematical model for Ukraine’s security and defense sector functioning under uncertainty and risks tied to hybrid adversary tools, and to investigate the synergistic effect of interoperability on sector capabilities to counter hybrid warfare strategies.

Method: methods of comprehensive analysis and synthesis, nonlinear mathematical modeling methods.

Findings: it has been determined that there is a relationship between uncertainty and the risks of hybrid threats, and the existence of a compensating influence from the state’s security and defense sector on the adversary’s use of hybrid influence measures has been proven.

Theoretical implications: the theoretical provisions, conclusions, and recommendations presented in the paper can become the basis for further scientific research and discussions on increasing the capabilities of the security and defense sector of Ukraine to counter the enemy’s hybrid means.

Practical implications: the implementation of recommendations and proposals substantiated in the work, which are aimed, based on military standardization processes, at ensuring interoperability of the components of the security and defense sector of Ukraine, as well as international partners, will allow countering the enemy's strategy of using hybrid warfare measures.

Value: in this study, modeling the processes of functioning of the security and defense sector of Ukraine in conditions of uncertainty and risks inherent in the influence of the enemy's hybrid means has not yet been the subject of comprehensive scientific research.

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References

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Abstract views: 67
PDF Downloads: 57
Published
2024-12-31
How to Cite
Trotsko, M., Hudyma, V., Diadechko, A., & Shylan, M. (2024). A generalized mathematical model for security and defense sector functioning under uncertainty and risks inherent to hybrid adversary impact. Social Development and Security, 14(6), 9-18. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2024.14.6.2
Section
National Security