Early identification of threats as the means of fighting against hybrid warfare (with a focus on the south Caucasus)
Abstract
Early identification of the most recent hybrid threats (incident at Keshikchidag, the escalation in the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan, in July 2020, etc.) in the South Caucasus, enabled the nations to sidestep the repercussions of the provocation, most probably initiated by the external actors. This is the primary reason why the authors developed this paper. The importance of early identification in fighting against hybrid threats has been highlighted in the paper. The authors elaborated on the examples occured in the South Caucasus countries, as well as beyond the region. The challenges of identifying hybrid threats ahve been specified. The scenarios have been presented regarding the hybrid aggressors and hybrid threats in the South Caucasus region.
Downloads
References
Chambers, J. (2016). Countering grey-zone hybrid threats, An Analysis of Russia’s ‘New Generation Warfare’ and Implications for the US Army. October 18, 2016. https://bit.ly/2HJ2SxF.
Chuka, N., Born, J.F. (2014) Hybrid warfare. Implications for CAF force development. Scientific Report, DRDC-RDDC-2014-R43, Defence Research and Development Canada, August 2014.
Cîrdei, I.A., Ispas, L. (2017) A possible answer of the European Union to hybrid threats. Scientific Bulletin, Vol. XXII No 2(44), 71-78.
Coffey, L. (2019). How to Defeat Hybrid Warfare Before It Starts, January 21, 2019. https://bit.ly/32yu4zt.
Bajarūnas, E. & Keršanskas, V. (2019). Hybrid Threats: Analysis of Content, Challenges Posed and Measures to Overcome. Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review, Volume 16, Issue 1, 11 January 2019. https://bit.ly/39DHLK9.
Eronen, P. & Cederberg, A. (n.d.). What Are Hybrid Threats? https://bit.ly/305lXE9.
Galeotti, M. (2018). (Mis)Understanding Russia’s two hybrid wars, 29 November 2018, https://bit.ly/3bZUGH5.
Giles, K. (2019). Hybrid threats: What can we learn from Russia? September 2019, https://bit.ly/39ynVQk.
Hagelstam, A. (2018). Cooperating to counter hybrid threats, 23 November 2018, https://bit.ly/38NFwCO.
“Heydər Əliyev qiyamı belə yatırdı” (2015). 04 oktyabr, 2015, https://bit.ly/2CVJwXd.
“Hybrid and transnational threats” (2018). Discussion paper, Friends of Europe, December 2018, https://bit.ly/2w3VXwk.
Iskandarov, Kh. (2019). The South CaucasusNATO cooperation, Lambert Academic Publishing.
Kopeček, V. (2010). Russian Geopolitical Perceptions and Imaginations of the SouthCaucasus. In Beyond Globalisation: Exploring the Limits of Globalisation in the Regional Context (conference proceedings), Ostrava: University of Ostrava Czech Republic, 99-105. https://bit.ly/2Da1Go1.
Kremidas-Courtney, C. (2019). Countering hybrid threats: We can’t just buy a solution, 15.02.2019. https://bit.ly/2OXfuVx.
Limnéll, J. (2019). Finland as the model country for preventing hybrid threats – the importance of cyber security, March 6, 2019. https://bit.ly/37PmdI8.
Mammadzada, V., Iskandarov, Kh., Gasanov A. (2020). Caspian region Geopolitical arena. Clash of interests and energy security”, Civitas et Lex, 2(26), 7-27.
“Müxalifətin 4 iyun savaşı” (2018). 22 iyun 2018. https://bit.ly/2X819tU.
Rimple, P. (2007). Georgia buries a president, but not the past, 2 April 2007. https://bit.ly/3hGEYmn.
Sahin, K. (2017). Germany Confronts Russian Hybrid Warfare, July 26, 2017. https://bit.ly/39uvfms.
Tarkhan-Mouravi, G. (2016). Old and new threats to security in the South Caucasus”, Wschód Europy Vol. 2, Number 2, 155-168.
Thiele, R.D. (2015). The New Colour of War – Hybrid Warfare and Partnerships, ISPSW Strategy Series: Focus on Defense and International Security, Issue No. 383, October 2015. https://bit.ly/2Vnc2b5.
Treverton, G.F., Thvedt, A., Chen, A.R., Lee, K. & McCue, M. (2018). Addressing Hybrid Threats, Swedish Defence University. https://bit.ly/2CHpYG7.
“Yagub Mahmudov: Armenian lobby behind provocations at Keshikchidag” (2019). July 22, 2019. https://bit.ly/3g7He5D.
“Yasamal hadisələri: suallara cavab varmı? – Professor Nəsir Əhmədlinin şərhi” (2020). 13 İyun 2020, https://bit.ly/30Q7M53.
Abstract views: 620 PDF Downloads: 446
Copyright (c) 2020 Khayal Iskandarov, Piotr Gawliczek

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The authors agree with the following conditions:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication (Download agreement) with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
2. Authors have the right to complete individual additional agreements for the non-exclusive spreading of the journal’s published version of the work (for example, to post work in the electronic repository of the institution or to publish it as part of a monograph), with the reference to the first publication of the work in this journal.
3. Journal’s politics allows and encourages the placement on the Internet (for example, in the repositories of institutions, personal websites, SSRN, ResearchGate, MPRA, SSOAR, etc.) manuscript of the work by the authors, before and during the process of viewing it by this journal, because it can lead to a productive research discussion and positively affect the efficiency and dynamics of citing the published work (see The Effect of Open Access).