System of estimation of losses of the national economy during the of armed conflict
Abstract
The article describes a system of indicators for carrying out a cost estimation of the economic losses of the state that arise as a result of armed conflict. The analysis of literature shows that today different methods are used to assess the loss to the national economy during an armed conflict, each with its own special system of indicators. A system of indicators that will provide an opportunity to establish a connection between state losses during an armed conflict and economic growth of the state does not take place. The aim of the work is to search for a system of indicators that will solve this problematic issue.
The article presents the main components of economic losses, to be exact: direct military expenditures of the country, lost income, which depends on the number of the affected population, additional government expenditures of the government, as well as indirect losses of the state that arose with the onset of armed conflict: displaced capital, emigration of skilled workers and lost educational opportunities for future generations. Taking into account all the components of economic losses that arise as a result of an armed conflict has an impact not only on the total amount of losses, but also on the level of economic development of the state. The application of indicators in the proposed system, on the one hand, establishes the connection between economic development of the state and the components of economic losses caused by armed conflict, and, on the other hand, make it possible to carry out an estimation of these losses.
For a more reasonable decision-making on the economic development of our state, the proposed system of indicators estimation the loss to the national economy during the period of armed conflict should be used. For the future the application of such a system will allow establishing the connection between calculated losses and economic growth of the state.
Downloads
References
Mueller, Hannes The Economic Costs of Conflict. IGC Working Paper. April 2013. 137 р.
Michelle Garfinkel and Stergis Skaperdas eds., Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict. New York, Oxford University Press: Oxford, 2012. available at : http://www.socsci.uci.edu/~mrgarfinOUP/papers/Bilmes.pdf.
Galvin H. The Impact of Defence Spending on the Economic Growth of Developing Countries. A Cross-section Study. Defence and Peace Economics. 2003. № 14(1). Р. 51-59.
Department of Defense, Estimated Cost to Each Taxpayer for the Wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria. July 2017. available at: http://comptroller. defense. gov/ Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/fy2018/ Section_1090_FY17_NDAA_Cost_of_Wars_to_Per_Taxpayer--July_2017.pdf.
Ali H. Economic Cost of Conflict in Darfur. Sudan at the Mercy of Killers: Destruction of Villages in Darfur // Working paper, American University in Cairo. Amnesty International. 2011. Report 54/072.
Ivanov S. V. (2015), “Vplyv zbroinoho konfliktu (viiny, boiovykh dii) na vartist pidpryiemstva: monohrafiia” [Impact of armed conflict (war, fighting) on the cost of the enterprise], Dn-vsk, 175 p.
Shcherbina, S. I. (2015), “Ekonomichni vtraty i ruinuvannia Ukrainy v roky Druhoi svitovoi viiny (na prykladi Cherkashchyny)” [Economic losses and destruction of Ukraine during the Second World War (on the example of Cherkasy region)], Visnyk Skhidnoiev ropeiskoho universytetu ekonomiky i menedzhmentu. Cherkasy, 2015. № 2 (19). pp. 71–80.
Heraimovych H., (2018) “Vplyv viiny na ekonomiku skhidnykh mist Ukrainy: keisy Mariupolia, Kramatorska i Slovianska” [Impact of war on the economy of eastern cities of Ukraine: case of Mariupol, Kramatorsk and Slov’yansk]. available at: https://donbasstudies.org/author/geraimovych.
Marko I. Yu., Chernyshova I. M. Otsinka zbytkiv natsionalʹnoyi ekonomiky u period zbroynoho konfliktu na Donbasi [Estimation of losses of national economy in the period of armed conflict in Donbass] // Bankivsʹka sprava. Kyiv, 2019. № 1 (149). P. 3–12.
“Pro nadannia shchomisiachnoi adresnoi dopomohy vnutrishno peremishchenym osobam dlia pokryttia vytrat na prozhyvannia, v tomu chysli na oplatu zhytlovo-komunalnykh posluh” [On providing a monthly targeted assistance to internally displaced persons to cover living expenses, including housing and utilities] : postanova Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy № 505. October 01, 2014 // Ofitsiinyi visnyk Ukrainy. 2014. № 80. St. 2271.
“Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku vykorystannia koshtiv, peredbachenykh u derzhavnomu biudzheti ta zabezpechennia postrazhdalykh uchasnykiv Revoliutsii Hidnosti ta uchasnykiv antyterorystychnoi operatsii sanatorno-kurortnym likuvanniam” [On Approval of the Procedure for Using the Funds Envisaged in the State Budget and Provision of Victims of the Revolution of Dignity and Anti-Terrorist Participants in Sanatorium Treatment]: postanova Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy. № 200. March 31, 2015. // Ofitsiinyi visnyk Ukrainy. 2018. № 48. St. 247.
“Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku vykorystannia koshtiv, peredbachenykh u derzhavnomu biudzheti dlia zdiisnennia zakhodiv iz sotsialnoi ta profesiinoi adaptatsii uchasnykiv antyterorystychnoi operatsii ta postrazhdalykh uchasnykiv Revoliutsii Hidnosti” [On Approval of the Procedure for Using the Funds Envisaged in the State Budget for the Implementation of Measures for the Social and Professional Adaptation of the Participants of the Antiterrorist Operation and the Victims of the Victory Revolution Victims]: postanova Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy № 179. March 31, 2015. // Ofitsiinyi visnyk Ukrainy. 2015. № 30. St. 895
“Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku orhanizatsii sotsialnoi ta profesiinoi adaptatsii uchasnykiv antyterorystychnoi operatsii ta postrazhdalykh uchasnykiv Revoliutsii Hidnosti” [On Approval of the Order of the Organization of Social and Professional Adaptation of the Participants of the Antiterrorist Operation and the Victims of the Victory Revolution Victims]: postanova Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy № 432. June 21, 2017. // Ofitsiinyi visnyk Ukrainy. 2018. № 30. St. 1369.
Abstract views: 161 PDF Downloads: 214
Copyright (c) 2020 Konstantin Kharitonov
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The authors agree with the following conditions:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication (Download agreement) with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
2. Authors have the right to complete individual additional agreements for the non-exclusive spreading of the journal’s published version of the work (for example, to post work in the electronic repository of the institution or to publish it as part of a monograph), with the reference to the first publication of the work in this journal.
3. Journal’s politics allows and encourages the placement on the Internet (for example, in the repositories of institutions, personal websites, SSRN, ResearchGate, MPRA, SSOAR, etc.) manuscript of the work by the authors, before and during the process of viewing it by this journal, because it can lead to a productive research discussion and positively affect the efficiency and dynamics of citing the published work (see The Effect of Open Access).